Friday, September 16, 2005

Donnelly on China's Military

Thomas Donnelly co-chaired a hearing of the congressionally appointed US-China Economic and Security Commission yesterday. He made expressed his concern over China's growing military capability:

With this hearing, the Commission returns to one of its core concerns: assessing the growing military power of the People’s Republic of China, its impact on American interests and, in particular, the increasingly unstable balance across the Taiwan Strait. In its past reports--and I expect again this year--the Commission has well chronicled the rapid, substantial, and intensely focused development of the People’s Liberation Army. While experts and intelligence analysts differ on the details, the undeniable truth is that this trend reflects a long-term commitment by Beijing, pursued through changes in leadership and despite the fact that, as Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld has observed, China has no enemies.

Indeed, the Pentagon now regards surging Chinese military strength as one of the emerging strategic realities for the 21st century. The current Quadrennial Defense Review speaks of a variety of challenges, the most profound of which it has dubbed as “disruptive,” implying an ability to alter the post-Soviet international order. Only a rising China possesses the present and potential power to challenge the American peace, either as a leader of a rival “bloc” or, in time, by itself.

This is not simply a challenge to American security and political interests. It is, inevitably, a challenge to American principles of liberty and individual rights. It is also a challenge to our friends and allies who share these universal principles.

As always I look forward to the Commission's report. Our (my) favorite commission member will be co-chairing today's hearings.

2 Comments:

Blogger IJ said...

The co-chairman's remarks reminds us that the United States is only another nation in the internationally competitive system. However Senator Donnelly's comments on China's arms build-up were given some perspective by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute.

The top 15 spenders on the military in 2004 are also reported in the Chinese media:
1. USA (47% of world total); 2. UK (5%); 3. France (5%); 4. Japan (4%); 5. China (4%); 6. Germany (3%); 7. Italy (3%); 8. Russia (2%); 9. Saudi Arabia (2%); 10. South Korea (2%); 11. India (2%); 12. Israel (1%); 13. Canada (1%); 14. Turkey (1%); Australia (1%).

The arms trade is doing well: "The combined arms sales of the top 100 arms-producing companies in 2003 were 25 per cent (in current dollars) higher than in 2002."

The United Nations seems powerless to impose some order here. Perhaps Canada has the right idea after all.

6:01 AM  
Blogger theCardinal said...

I don't think that any reasonable person would assert that China could be an actual military threat to the US in the forseeable future. The concern is more of China being able to project force outside of its borders, which it is clearly trying to do, and destabilizing the region.

Just this week the Reds sent a navy ship (or two, I forget) near contested gas fields. China could easily trigger a regional conflict with action against Taiwan or a takeover of the Spartleys.

12:58 PM  

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